Current:Home > FinanceScientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios -Wealth Evolution Experts
Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios
View
Date:2025-04-15 10:55:27
A host of potential climate change catastrophes worry scientists, but some scenarios are so dire that experts are constantly monitoring how close we are to disaster.
This week brought some good climate news about one those scenarios in Antarctica: The so-called "Doomsday glacier" may be more stable than previously thought, according to new research published Wednesday.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the "Doomsday Glacier" because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions of people.
Meanwhile, scientists keep tracking several other potential large-scale climate troublemakers. Scenarios including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Greenland ice sheet have the potential to radically reshape life on Earth in the coming years, decades or centuries.
Here's the latest:
'Doomsday glacier': Worst-case scenario is unlikely, for now
The Thwaites Glacier has been studied for years as an indicator of human-caused climate change.
In one nightmare scenario, the glacier's melt fuels a 50-foot rise in sea level. The Florida Peninsula would be submerged, save for a strip of interior high ground spanning from Gainesville to north of Lake Okeechobee, with the state's coastal cities underwater.
That scenario now looks unlikely — for now, the new study says.
"We know this extreme projection is unlikely over the course of the 21st century," said study lead author Mathieu Morlighem, a Dartmouth University professor of earth sciences, in a statement.
The good news comes with plenty of caveats. Authors stress that the accelerating loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire.
"Unfortunately, Thwaites Glacier is still going to retreat and with it most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, but not as rapidly as one scenario suggested," Morlighem told USA TODAY in an e-mail. He added that even though a rapid collapse was a "low likelihood" scenario in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "we show is that it is even less likely than we thought."
Sea level is probably going to rise by roughly 2-3 feet by the end of the century and continue to rise after, as the ice sheets continue to melt, he told USA TODAY.
Greenland's ice sheet: A mix of good and bad news
There's been mixed news about a similarly troubling ice sheet in Greenland.
Overall, the ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet, according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center.
News continues to be worrisome in Greenland, which is losing about 270 billion tons of ice per year, adding to sea level rise, NASA said. A study earlier this year found that the ice sheet in Greenland is melting faster than researchers had thought.
But a study last year found that the sheet may be more resistant to climate change than once thought.
Basically, the study found that "the worst-case scenario of ice sheet collapse and consequent sea-level rise can be avoided – and even partly reversed – if we manage to reduce the global temperatures projected for after 2100," previously said Bryn Hubbard, a professor of glaciology at Aberystwyth University in Wales.
AMOC collapse: Scientists still studying feared 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) – a large system of ocean currents that carry warm water from the tropics into the North Atlantic – could collapse by the middle of the century, or possibly any time from 2025 onward, because of human-caused climate change, a study published last year suggests.
The AMOC gained international attention in 2004 with the release of the scientifically inaccurate disaster movie "The Day After Tomorrow," which used such an ocean current shutdown as the premise of the film.
An AMOC collapse in real life could trigger rapid weather and climate changes in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere. If it were to happen, it could bring about an ice age in Europe and sea-level rise in cities such as Boston and New York, as well as more potent storms and hurricanes along the East Coast.
Another study suggests the collapse could occur by 2050, but the research is still preliminary. Earlier this year, a published study found a collapse of the current was coming at some point, but didn't offer clues as to when it could occur.
veryGood! (45)
Related
- Kansas City Chiefs CEO's Daughter Ava Hunt Hospitalized After Falling Down a Mountain
- The 3 officers cleared in Manuel Ellis’ death will each receive $500,000 to leave Tacoma police
- Modi’s promised Ram temple is set to open and resonate with Hindus ahead of India’s election
- Woman who sent threats to a Detroit-area election official in 2020 gets 30 days in jail
- Olympic men's basketball bracket: Results of the 5x5 tournament
- Coco Gauff avoids Australian Open upset as Ons Jabeur, Carolina Wozniacki are eliminated
- Lawmakers announce bipartisan effort to enhance child tax credit, revive tax breaks for businesses
- U.S. says Houthi missiles fired at cargo ship, U.S. warship in Red Sea amid strikes against Iran-backed rebels
- Judge says Mexican ex-official tried to bribe inmates in a bid for new US drug trial
- 'More than the guiding light': Brian Barczyk dies at 54 after battling pancreatic cancer
Ranking
- Justice Department, Louisville reach deal after probe prompted by Breonna Taylor killing
- Who is NFL's longest-tenured head coach with Bill Belichick out of New England?
- Fatal hot air balloon crash in Arizona may be linked to faulty ‘envelope’
- Cuffed During Cuffing Season? Here Are The Best Valentine's Day Gifts For Those In A New Relationship
- Why we love Bear Pond Books, a ski town bookstore with a French bulldog 'Staff Pup'
- New Zealand’s first refugee lawmaker resigns after claims of shoplifting
- Mexican writer José Agustín, who chronicled rock and society in the 1960s and 70s, has died at 79
- Sentencing scheduled Wednesday for Heather Mack in mom’s Bali slaying, stuffing into suitcase
Recommendation
IOC's decision to separate speed climbing from other disciplines paying off
New York governor wants to spend $2.4B to help deal with migrant influx in new budget proposal
Eagles center Jason Kelce set to retire after 13 NFL seasons, per multiple reports
Mexican writer José Agustín, who chronicled rock and society in the 1960s and 70s, has died at 79
What polling shows about Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Harris’ new running mate
In new filing, Trump lawyers foreshadow potential lines of defense in classified documents case
Bride arrested for extortion in Mexico, handcuffed in her wedding dress
'More than the guiding light': Brian Barczyk dies at 54 after battling pancreatic cancer