Current:Home > MarketsHere's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy -Wealth Evolution Experts
Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy
View
Date:2025-04-13 13:35:31
Inflation got a little higher last month — but not enough to set off alarms.
Consumer prices in July were up 3.2% from a year ago, according to data released Thursday, driven in part by rising rent, gas and grocery prices. The increase came after the annual inflation rate had fallen steadily for the previous 12 months.
Despite the rise in the headline rate, details in the report show inflation continuing to moderate. Stocks rallied on the news, which bolstered hopes for a "soft landing," in which the Federal Reserve brings inflation under control without tipping the economy into recession.
Here are four things to know about the latest report on inflation.
What was so encouraging about the latest inflation report?
Although consumer prices rose more in July on an annual basis than they did in June, that shouldn't be read as inflation gaining steam. Rather, it's the result of a single month of flat prices a year ago dropping out of the calculation.
Focusing on more recent months shows price hikes continuing to moderate. In fact, over the last three months, prices have climbed at an annual rate of just under 2%. And some prices are actually coming down.
So what is up — and what is down in price?
Goods overall are getting cheaper, with some exceptions like gasoline and groceries.
Used car prices were down last month, and they are expected to keep falling. Air fares dropped more than 8% in July for the second month in a row.
Rent is still going up, but not as fast as it had been. The economy is also seeing a moderation in the price of services – things like getting your car fixed or going to the dentist.
Service prices are largely driven by wages, so they tend to be stickier than other prices. The big question is whether service inflation will come down enough to bring overall inflation under control.
Why is Wall Street so encouraged about inflation?
The inflation data was within what Wall Street had forecast, and it reinforces hope that inflation is easing.
At the same time, other recent data is showing a sturdier economy than many had expected. The labor market, in particular, is holding up well despite the Fed's aggressive increases in interest rates since last year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped more than 400 points in the first hour of trading Thursday, although most of those gains were later reversed. The Dow closed up 52 points, or 0.15%.
Stephen Juneau, a senior economist at Bank of America, says he's encouraged about the trajectory of inflation.
"I think the direction of travel right now is really moving in the right direction, and is encouraging on the inflation front," Juneau said.
How could the inflation data impact the Fed's thinking?
Even before Thursday's inflation news, markets were betting the Fed would leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting after raising rates aggressively since last year.
Oddsmakers see that as even more likely after this report.
But nothing's certain and additional economic data will determine the Fed's next action. The Fed doesn't meet until late September and there are still areas of concern, including higher oil prices which are driving up prices at the gas pump.
How could inflation impact households?
Although inflation is easing, it's still pretty high. Even if the Fed doesn't raise rates higher, they're likely to remain elevated for an extended period.
That has an impact on many people's pocketbooks since households are paying more for mortgages and credit cards, for example.
And the economy may be looking sturdier, but there's still a risk the U.S. could enter a recession.
China's economy, for example, is showing signs of slowing down significantly, which could impact the global economy at a time when the U.S. is taking a tougher stance against the Asian country.
veryGood! (589)
Related
- Romantasy reigns on spicy BookTok: Recommendations from the internet’s favorite genre
- Attorney John Eastman surrenders to authorities on charges in Georgia 2020 election subversion case
- Sheriff seeking phone records between Alabama priest and 18-year-old woman who fled to Europe
- Bobby Flay talks 'Triple Threat,' and how he 'handed' Guy Fieri a Food Network job
- 'Meet me at the gate': Watch as widow scatters husband's ashes, BASE jumps into canyon
- Spain defeats England 1-0, wins its first Women's World Cup
- Sha'Carri Richardson wins 100-meter title at world championships to cap comeback
- Washington Commanders end Baltimore Ravens' preseason win streak at 24 games
- What polling shows about Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Harris’ new running mate
- Pakistani rescuers try to free 6 kids and 2 men in a cable car dangling hundreds of feet in the air
Ranking
- Olympic men's basketball bracket: Results of the 5x5 tournament
- Facebook users in US have until Friday to claim their piece of Meta's $725 million settlement
- Dwayne Haskins wasn't just a tragic case. He was a husband, quarterback and teammate.
- Washington Commanders end Baltimore Ravens' preseason win streak at 24 games
- Costco membership growth 'robust,' even amid fee increase: What to know about earnings release
- Lonzo Ball claps back at Stephen A. Smith for questioning if he can return from knee injury
- SEC conference preview: Georgia has company with Alabama, LSU Tennessee in chase
- Trump's bond set at $200,000 in Fulton County election case
Recommendation
Audit: California risked millions in homelessness funds due to poor anti-fraud protections
Conference realignment will leave Pac-12 in pieces. See the decades of shifting alliances
Woman, 2 men killed in Seattle hookah lounge shooting identified
Will AI take over the world? How to stay relevant if it begins replacing jobs. Ask HR
Kansas City Chiefs CEO's Daughter Ava Hunt Hospitalized After Falling Down a Mountain
Who takes advantage of Donald Trump’s absence and other things to watch in the Republican debate
Correctional officer at St. Louis jail freed after being held hostage by inmates
Georgia Sheriff Kristopher Coody pleads guilty to groping Judge Glenda Hatchett